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	<title>Comments on: Cotner&#8217;s Observation</title>
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	<link>http://artent.net/2013/01/12/cotners-observation/</link>
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		<title>By: antianticamper</title>
		<link>http://artent.net/2013/01/12/cotners-observation/#comment-454</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[antianticamper]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jan 2013 15:47:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://162.243.213.31/?p=1335#comment-454</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Interesting observation.  Perhaps an easy way to see the general principle is to image a world with male and female height distributions exactly like our own except that there exists one woman who is 50 feet tall.  In this case, 

Prob(gender = female &#124; observed height = 50) = 1.

Also, although I can see the resemblance, I&#039;m not sure Cotner&#039;s observation tracks Taleb&#039;s issue as closely as first appears.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Interesting observation.  Perhaps an easy way to see the general principle is to image a world with male and female height distributions exactly like our own except that there exists one woman who is 50 feet tall.  In this case, </p>
<p>Prob(gender = female | observed height = 50) = 1.</p>
<p>Also, although I can see the resemblance, I&#8217;m not sure Cotner&#8217;s observation tracks Taleb&#8217;s issue as closely as first appears.</p>
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