“Predicting the Future: Randomness and Parsimony”

January 8, 2013 in Uncategorized by hundalhh | 2 comments

Check out the Nuit Blanche posts “Predicting the Future: The Steamrollers” and “Predicting the Future: Randomness and Parsimony” where Igor Carron repeats the well known mantra of Moore’s law that always seems to catch us by surprise. Carron’s remarks on medicine surprised me but also I thought, “I should have guessed that would happen” while reading the articles.

2 comments

  1. antianticamper’s avatar

    antianticamper on January 8, 2013 at 9:55 am

    For a critical take on prediction, read “Antifragile” by Taleb. Highly recommended.

  2. hundalhh’s avatar

    hundalhh on January 8, 2013 at 10:06 am

    I did buy “Anitfragile” a week ago, but I am busy reading “Bend, Not Break: A Life in Two Worlds” a story about a Chinese immigrant who was partially responsible for Mosaic and Netscape. I love Taleb’s books, especially “The Black Swan”, but I sometimes disagree with his conclusions.

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